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基于动态灰积加权关联算法的矿山安全投入决策模型及应用

Mine safety input decision model based on dynamic grey area weighted correlation algorithm and its application

  • 摘要: 为了解决我国矿山企业存在的安全投入优化效果不佳、决策模糊性等问题,综合考虑事故间接损失对安全管理效果的影响,采用EAHP法确定各安全投入要素的权重,较好地描述了专家意见的模糊性和偏好差异;采用非对称正弦白化权函数和灰色关联法,建立了动态灰积加权关联算法的矿山安全投入决策模型,客观地反映了不同时点安全投入和安全产出的差异带来的影响。将该模型用于矿山企业安全投入优化决策分析中,结果表明:该矿山的安全教育和安全管理2个安全投入要素的关联度相对较大,分别为0.188和0.170,说明该企业安全运营综合效果的瓶颈因素为安全教育和安全管理;该矿山企业的安全投入优化决策结果合理有效,验证了该模型的适用性,为企业制订安全投入方案和提升安全管理效率提供了决策参考。

     

    Abstract: In order to solve the problems of poor optimization effect and fuzzy decision-making of safety input in mining enterprises in China, considering the influence of indirect loss on safety management effect, the EAHP method was used to determine the weight of each safety input factors, and the fuzziness and preference difference of experts' opinions were well described. Mine safety input decision model based on dynamic gray area weighted correlation algorithm has been established to reflect the impact of the difference of safety input-output at different time points by asymmetric sine whitening weight function and gray correlation analysis method. The model was applied to the optimization decision analysis of safety input in mining enterprises. The results show that the correlation degree of safety education and safety management in the mine is relatively large, which are 0.188 and 0.170 respectively, indicating that the bottleneck factors of the comprehensive effect of safety operation of the enterprise are safety education and safety management. The safety input optimization decision of the mining enterprise is reasonable and effective, which verifies the applicability of the model, and provides a decision-making reference for enterprises to formulate safety input schemes and improve safety management efficiency.

     

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