不同时间窗下露天矿边坡真实孔径雷达监测预警研究
Monitoring and early warning study under different time windows using real aperture radar in open-pit mine slope
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                            摘要: 为了研究真实孔径雷达在露天矿滑坡灾害监测预警中的应用,基于蠕动变形三阶段理论,建立真实孔径雷达预警模型,分析滑坡时间预测预报方法,提取雷达监测位移数据,探讨不同时间窗TW (Time Windows)下应用速度倒数法预警模型线性拟合方法,并根据临滑前加速变形阶段OOA (Onset of Acceleration)之后的变形速度数据进行线性拟合预测滑坡时间的规律。研究结果表明:基于边坡变形三阶段蠕变理论,随着所选取的新的起始点SP (Start Point)的推移,所预测的滑坡时间不断接近真实滑坡时间;随着时间窗的不断减小,滑坡预测时间不断逼近真实滑坡时间,在监测预警中应当选取较小的时间窗,以提高数据展示的敏感性和滑坡预测时间的准确性。Abstract: In order to study the application of real-aperture radar in the monitoring and early warning of open-pit mine landslide disaster, based on the three - stage theory of creep deformation, a real - aperture radar early warning model was established. The prediction method of landslide time was analyzed,and the monitoring displacement data of radar was extracted. The linear fitting method of the pearly warning model with the inverse velocity method under different Time Windows (TW) was discussed,and the rule of the prediction of landslide time was carried out according to the deformation velocity data after the Onset of Acceleration (OOA) before the pre - slip. The results show that, based on the three - stage creep theory of slope deformation,with the passage of the new Start Point (SP),the predicted landslide time is closer to the real landslide time. With the decrease of the time window,the landslide prediction time is constantly approaching the real landslide time. A smaller time window should be selected in the monitoring and early warning to improve the sensitivity of data display and the accuracy of landslide prediction time.
 
             
						  
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