• 中文核心期刊
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • RCCSE中国核心学术期刊
  • Scopus, DOAJ, CA, AJ, JST收录期刊
高级检索

基于AHP-RCA根源分析法的煤矿瓦斯爆炸事故风险评价研究

Research on risk assessment of coal mine gas explosion accidents based on AHP-RCA root cause analysis method

  • 摘要: 为预防煤矿瓦斯爆炸事故的发生,需确定事故危险源,分析事故发生的根源,并对其致因加以控制。探究RCA(根源分析法)在煤矿瓦斯爆炸事故分析中的优势、实施过程,引入AHP-RCA分析法,并结合实际案例运用头脑风暴、鱼骨树等分析工具,分析煤矿瓦斯爆炸事故发生的规律和共性问题,排查事故成因;在此基础上运用AHP(层次分析法)构造煤矿瓦斯爆炸事故成因层次模型,通过构造判断矩阵对事故成因进行定量分析,确定各判断矩阵的特征向量与权重,得出造成瓦斯爆炸事故的主要成因。研究结果表明:AHP-RCA分析法突破了传统事故树分析的局限性,通过权重量化可实现致因要素的优先级排序,其中人为因素与管理因素为主要致灾因子,基于此对在岗人员的安全管理提出整改措施和建议,可更好地预防事故发生。

     

    Abstract: In order to prevent the occurrence of coal mine gas explosion accidents, it is necessary to identify hazard sources, analyze the root causes of such incidents, and implement control measures for their causal factors.This study investigates the advantages and implementation process of RCA (Root Cause Analysis) in analyzing coal mine gas explosion accidents.It introduces the AHP-RCA analysis method and applies tools such as brain storming and fishbone diagrams in combination with actual cases, analyzing the patterns and common issues in coal mine gas explosions to identify their underlying causes.Building on this foundation, the AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) is employed to construct a hierarchical model of the causative factors in coal mine gas explosion accidents.A quantitative analysis of these causative factors is then conducted by establishing judgment matrices, calculating their eigenvectors and weights, ultimately identifying the primary causes leading to gas explosion accidents.The results show that the AHP-RCA analysis method breaks through the limitations of traditional accident tree analysis, and realizes the priority of causal factors through weighting, in which human factors and management factors are the main disaster factors, so the rectification measures and suggestions are put forward for the safety management of on-the-job personnel to better carry out accident prevention.

     

/

返回文章
返回