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基于BP神经网络的采空区煤自燃风险评价模型研究

A risk evaluation model for coal spontaneous combustion in goaf based on BP neural network

  • 摘要: 采空区煤自燃火灾是矿井火灾当中占比最大的火灾形式,在预防阶段难以有效评估其煤自燃风险,防治难度大。基于此,将深度学习神经网络技术引入煤自燃风险评价中,提出了基于BP神经网络的采空区煤自燃风险评价模型,收集135组实际矿井数据,构建了煤自燃风险多层级评价指标体系; 采用黄金分割法确定最优的神经网络拓扑模型,利用训练集与测试集数据,完成煤自燃风险评价模型的训练优化与预测准确率分析。在大柳塔煤矿活鸡兔井开展应用,结果表明:所提出的基于BP神经网络的采空区煤自燃风险评价模型,具有强大的自学习能力,以及良好的泛化能力、容错能力、映射关系能力,可定量评估采空区煤自燃风险,具备预测准确率高、实用性强的优点,可为矿井火灾防治、井下安全回采等工作提供可靠的科学依据,对于整体提升矿井安全生产水平有现实意义。

     

    Abstract: Spontaneous combustion fires in goaf account for the largest proportion of mine fires. During the prevention stage, it is difficult to effectively assess the spontaneous combustion risk, posing significant challenges for prevention and control. To address this, deep learning neural network technology was introduced into the field of coal spontaneous combustion risk assessment, and a risk evaluation model based on a BP neural network was proposed. A total of 135 sets of field data were collected to establish a multi-level evaluation index system. The optimal neural network topology was determined using the golden section method, and the model was trained, optimized, and evaluated for prediction accuracy using training and test datasets. The proposed model was applied at the Huojitu Mine of the Daliuta Coal Mine. The results show that the BP neural network-based risk evaluation model for coal spontaneous combustion in goaf, leveraging its strong self-learning capability, good generalization ability, fault tolerance, and mapping capability, enables quantitative assessment of spontaneous combustion risk in goaf. It offers high prediction accuracy and strong practicality, providing a scientific and reliable basis for mine fire prevention and control, safe underground mining, and related operations, and is of practical significance for improving the overall level of mine safety production.

     

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